Monday, April 10, 2017

Technical Analysis: NSE Sector Outlook



Banking Sector

The banking sector witnessed a marginal drop in value in the past trading week as it depreciated by 0.20% to close at 273.70 basis points. Year to date currently stands at negative 0.23%.
From a technical analysis perspective, the banking sector within the mid-point and lower Bollinger band and finds support at the lower Bollinger band at 267.5 basis point with RSI 14 day period picked up from 36 levels to currently trade at 46.9 levels

Key levels resistance 285 while intermediate support at 267.20 basis points.

Volume on the other hand continues to decline week compared to previous week by 42%

Recommendations:

The bullish optimism in the banking sector could be regarded as a suspect as the indices rise in value does not correspond with volume. Speculative activities could be the order of the day in the coming trading week as equity such as Guarantee Trust Bank Plc, Access Bank, Zenith Bank, UBA and Fidelity Bank should be of keen interest. 




Oil and Gas Sector

The upside rally in the Oil and Gas sector, saw the sector appreciated in the past trading week by 4.27% to close at 304.90 basis points. The Year to date figure showed a decline percentage by 2.49%.
From a technical analysis perspective, the sector continues to find resistance at 304.90 basis point also a confluence of the upper Bollinger band. RSI 14 day period on the other currently shows a negative divergence

Key levels resistance 304.90 while intermediate support at 280 basis points.

Volume indicators shows a decline

Recommendations:
Investor’s earlier accumulative stands may see a profit taking period in the coming trading session. Stocks such as Mobil, Oando and Eterna may could a corrective move while Total could resume a potential upside rally



Industrial Sector

The industrial sector witnessed appreciated in value by 5.15% in the past trading week to close at 1,678.80 basis points. Year to date currently stands at positive 5.23%. 

From a technical analysis perspective, Equities in the industrial sector had a steep rally as depicted by the daily chart of the indices. The index current find resistance at the upper Bollinger band at 1,689.90 with RSI 14 day period reaching the overbought level at 75

Volume on the other hand continues to decline week for three consecutive trading days despite the upside rally in the sector

Recommendations:
The bullish trend in the sector may encounter a temporary halt as profit taking by investors would likely see correction in the coming week. Investors should consider re-positioning at 1,537 basis points.



Consumer Goods Sector

The Consumer Goods sector witnessed a marginal appreciation by 0.80% in the past trading week to close at 632.83 basis points. Year to date currently stands at negative 11.20%

From a technical analysis perspective, the sector is currently trading a range of resistance 637.2 and support 619.6 basis points

Recommendations:
Investor’s toast in this sector remains neutral as equities trades in a zigzag manner. 




Insurance Sector

The Insurance sector witnessed an appreciation of 1.97% in the past trading week to close at 126.26 basis points. Year to date currently stands at negative 0.02%

From a technical analysis perspective, the rally in the sector was largely due to rally in few equities in the sector. Continental reinsurance and Mansard is the major driver in the sector.

Trend indicator showed room for upside rally with resistance 126.80 basis point a significant level for the sector.

Volume indicators stay relatively flat with RSI 14 day period trending towards the overbought level.

Recommendations:
Profit taking could drive the sector down in the coming week.



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